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Monday, October 12, 2026
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Venezuela May Now Shape Trump's Political Legacy - and the United States' Place in the Global Order

Following launching a night of shock and awe in Venezuela, Donald Trump now appears to be getting into the nation-building business.

In a remarkable news conference at his Mar-a-Lago resort on Saturday morning, the president stated that US military forces had successfully apprehended Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in an late-night operation in Caracas.

Trump then announced that a delegation comprising Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth, working with Venezuelans, would be assuming control of the beleaguered nation.

"We are going to run the country until such time as we can do a safe, proper and judicious transition," he said.

What precisely "governing the state" actually means is uncertain, but the vow signifies an abrupt change of course for the president, laden with contradictions and formidable challenges.

A leader who campaigned against "forever wars", who sharply criticised past US attempts at overthrowing governments and who vowed to implement an "America First" foreign policy is now gambling his administration on effectively rebuilding a South American nation whose economic system is in ruins and whose political stability has been undermined by years of authoritarian rule.

Yet, Trump was relentlessly optimistic.

He claimed his administration has a "unblemished record of winning" – and that this would be no exception. He promised to recruit American oil firms to overhaul Venezuela's deteriorating industrial infrastructure, supplying financing for the American rebuilding project and benefitting the Venezuelan people.

He left open the possibility of sending American soldiers to Venezuela to advance these efforts. "We do not fear boots on the ground…we had boots on the ground last night," he told reporters.

Trump, a sharp critic of the US invasion of Iraq, will now have to consider the words of one of the American planners of the Iraq War, Secretary of State Colin Powell: "You break it, you bought it."

A Changed Global Approach

The US has redefined Venezuela's prospects – for better or worse.

Trump came to power nearly a year ago promising to be a peacemaker, but over the past year he has proven that he is quite prepared to use military force worldwide.

In the past week, he ordered airstrikes on Syria and Nigeria. In 2025, he struck nuclear facilities in Iran, suspected narco-trafficking boats in the Caribbean, insurgent groups in Yemen, armed groups in Somalia and Islamic militants in Iraq.

In contrast to past actions, which have mostly involved rockets and warplanes that reduce the risk of American forces to harm, Trump's Venezuela strike – and his pledges to the fate of that nation – are strikingly different.

His aim, he said during his press conference, is to "restore Venezuela's greatness."

Reactions from Allies and Critics

That variation of Trump's "Make America Great Again" – or Maga - slogan may be difficult for some of Trump's supporters to accept.

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a one-time Trump ally who broke with the president after charging him of abandoning his political base, was quick to criticize the president's actions on social media.

"Public outrage with our own government's never ending use of force and backing for overseas conflicts is justified because we are compelled to fund it," she stated. "This is what many in Maga thought they voted to end. Boy were we wrong."

Another prominent Trump critic, Republican Congressman Thomas Massie, contrasted the official rationale for Maduro's arrest – on arms and drug trafficking charges – with Trump's reasoning that the operation was to reclaim confiscated US oil and halt fentanyl production.

The majority of Republican lawmakers rallied behind the president, with House Speaker Mike Johnson describing the armed intervention against a "illegitimate government" as "firm and legitimate".

Strategic Justifications and Global Implications

During his press conference, the president argued the Venezuelan operation advanced his "America First" priorities because it ensured US regional security and provided a reliable source of oil.

He revived the Monroe Doctrine – an nineteenth-century American diplomatic policy that declared the Western Hemisphere should be without influence by European powers – and renamed it the "Donroe Doctrine."

The move in Venezuela, Trump said, shows that "American dominance in the Western Hemisphere will not be challenged again."

The goal of the new US national security strategy, he said, was to "safeguard trade, land and assets that are core to our security interests." He branded the Western Hemisphere as America's "backyard."

Trump's decision to capture Maduro will provoke larger questions in international relations, however, and affect American ties with the world's other major global powers.

The Chinese government released a statement voicing shock and condemning what it said was a irresponsible attack on a independent country.

During the previous administration, the US offered similar censures of Russia following its incursion of Ukraine. Now the Trump administration is trying to broker a ceasefire between those two nations – one that has often appeared to be leaning to the Russian side.

Don Bacon, a moderate Republican congressman, expressed worry about the message Trump's actions might send.

"My primary concern is now Russia will use this to excuse their unlawful and barbaric military actions against Ukraine, or China to justify an attack of Taiwan."

Opposition and Legal Scrutiny

Trump's Democratic opponents were more direct.

"The United States should not be running other countries for any purpose," said a senator who serves on the Senate Foreign Relations committee. "We should have learned by now not to get involved in perpetual conflicts and overthrow attempts that carry devastating results for Americans."

Another senior Democratic lawmaker said Maduro is a lawbreaker and a dictator with a record of rights violations. But he censured Trump's decision not to inform congressional leaders prior to launching the attack.

"The President has the constitutional responsibility to follow the law and uphold democratic norms in the United States," he said. "That is what putting America First requires."

Trump, in his remarks, explained that he opted not to inform Congress because he was concerned they would "leak" particulars of the operation before the attack.

An Uncertain Future

That mission was a triumph – with zero American casualties and minimal damage to US equipment. Trump, with his characteristic bravado, described the operation as a "spectacular assault" and "among the most astonishing, effective and impressive displays of American power and proficiency in US history."

Now he is betting his presidency on that success enduring, as the US says it will take over running and rebuilding Venezuela - though what that actually means remains unknown. He and his team must strengthen a nation that has been in chaos for decades while calming a region that is sure to be apprehensive of what Trump's foreign policy has planned for them.

By

John Cooley

A professional gambler and analyst with over a decade of experience in casino gaming, specializing in roulette systems and probability theory.

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